Sunday, November 19, 2006

Bush tech czar wrongheaded approach to tech skills shortage

In a recent eWeek article, Robert Cresant, Bush's Tech Czar, states "There are not enough engineers with the appropriate skill sets.". Being in the industry myself, and frequently being on the hiring and being-hired side, I'm suspicious of proclemations that there are not "enough" engineers in the U.S. It has been my experience that there are always individuals available with even the most sought-after skills, but employers may have to pay more for them.

What is usually behind this type of proclemation is that businesses feel there are not enough engineers with sought-after skills willing to work for less than the market price. Which explains Cresant's solution to the problem: increase the H-1B visa limits. The H-1B visa program allows foreigners to come to the united states temporarily and work for a company that sponsors them. The H-1B visa program is supposedly intended for situations where qualified U.S. candidates could not be found. The company has to attest that they were not able to find a qualified U.S. worker to fill the position, but have to supply no proof. The H-1B visa worker is able to stay in the U.S. up to 6 years as long as the company continues to sponsor them, or they move to another company that sponsors them.

There are several serious problems with the H-1B program. First, I've worked with at least 70 H-1B visa holders, and it has never been the case that the employer could not find a U.S. citizen to fill the position. What is very likely true is that they could not find a U.S. citizen with the skills that would work for a salary as low as the H-1B visa holder. The H-1B visa program by and large is not about filling positions where U.S. candidates could not be found. It's about pushing down U.S. wages for highly skilled workers.

Second, the H-1B visa holder is very restricted in their power to negotiate with their employer or to seek employment with another company at a better wage. The sponsoring company holds the visa over the H-1B worker's head. A U.S. worker is free to negotiate for a higher salary and benefits. If they don't feel they are getting paid what they deserve, they can also seek employment elsewhere. The market is large and very fluid. The H-1B visa worker has to worry about losing their sponsorship, and can only go to another employer if they can get the other company to sponsor them as well. For the H-1B visa holder, the U.S. market is small and not fluid. Rather than risk losing sponsorship, an H-1B visa holder will stay put even if they believe they can get significantly higher wages elsewhere.

Third, because the H-1B visa worker is only temporarily in this country, if they have a family and house, it's usually in their home country. Their costs in the U.S. usually consist of an apartment (many times shared with other co-workers) and other basic living costs such as food, utilities, etc. No mortgage, usually no car, etc. What this means is that they can earn money in the U.S. but largely avoid U.S. cost of living. This is another factor that helps keep wages from going up. Most highly skilled U.S. workers wouldn't be able to pay their bills on an H-1B visa salary.

What this all adds up to is the H-1B visa program depresses U.S. wages for highly skilled workers. You tell me, what could you add to the H-1B program to make it more effective at keeping wages down? Seems like they covered all the bases with the H-1B visa program.

One thing that is troubling is that enrollment in Science and Engineering programs by U.S. citizens is down. Science and technology is the modern engine of growth, and we're losing fuel. But Mr. Cresant's solution is precisely part of the problem. Part of the reason enrollment in Science and Engineering is down is because bright high school grads look around and don't see good prospects in Science and Engineering. They read about jobs being outsourced to other countries, U.S. workers having difficulty finding Science and Engineering jobs, the number of H-1B visas being increased, and Science and Engineering salaries are lower than comparable fields. Science and Engineering programs are tough. If you had a son or daughter that could go into Science, Engineering, Law, or Medicine, what would you recommend? Considering all of the above, I can see why many more students are opting to go into other fields.

If Cresant truly wants to address the problem of maintaining U.S. leadership in Science and Technology, he could instead propose to:
  • Scale back the H-1B visa program, and put in restrictions that ensure it is truly used for those rare cases where U.S. candidates cannot be found to fill positions.
  • Revamp Pre-K to 12 education where the U.S. is far behind in basic studies such as Science and Math. Freshmen in Engineering typically start with Calculus or higher, then continue taking advanced Math courses throughout their undergraduate studies. But this is impossible if the foundation hasn't been set in K-12.
  • Change how Pre-K to 12 education is funded. Pre-K to 12 education is largely funded from local real estate taxes. This causes large disparities in school budgets, in particular in large metro areas such as Chicago. Schools in lower income inner city districts are overcrowded and can't pay for books while schools in wealthy suburban districts are able to offer every resource to their students. When it comes to education, everyone in the U.S. should have an equal opportunity. Funding isn't the only factor in making an effective school, but it's a big one.
  • Greatly increase Pell grants and other programs to make it possible for more bright students with limited means to study in the best U.S. schools.
  • Increase the number of student visas and immigrant visas that are given out each year. In particular, target immigrants studying or working in Science and Technology fields. If people with these skillsets wish to make the U.S. their home, we should do everything we can to make it possible. Unlike H-1B visa holders, immigrants with permanent residency (green cards) can negotiate, change jobs, and need not fear their employer taking away their visa.
  • Fix healthcare in the U.S. Healthcare in the U.S. is largely employer-funded, and the U.S. has the highest health care costs in the world. That is why healthcare is one of the factors that make U.S. workers more expensive to employers than workers in other countries. Imagine how much more attractive it would be to IBM to locate jobs in the U.S. if the healthcare system were much more cost effective and if healthcare was paid for by the government.
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Saturday, November 18, 2006

Barak Obama podcast

Barak Obama, senator from Illinois, has put out another Podcast. In it he talks about the Democrats becoming the majority in the house and senate, and talks about initiatives Democrats will be focusing on, including:

  • Phased redeployment from Iraq
  • Increasing minimum wage (has fallen far behind due to inflation)
  • Implementing all of the 9/11 comission report recommendations
  • Addressing the rising cost of college tuition
  • Fixing the Medicare prescription drug plan, allowing the government to negotiate drug prices (and you wonder why the U.S. has by far the highest per-capita health care costs - and without universal coverage!)
Some of the bills that he will be working on personally:
  • Expanding the College Pell grant program
  • Creating summer learning programs
  • Promoting alternative energies (biofuels, etc)
  • Improving chemical plants security
All in all, a good progressive agenda that will hopefully repair some of the damage done in the last 6 years. As usual, Barak comes across as sincere, apolitical, and genuinely seeking to achieve results.

The one item I haven't seen mentioned that I'd like to really see addressed would be the sorry state of pre-K to 12 education in the U.S. By most measures we are far behind other industrialized countries. Not only is our educational system lagging other countries, it is grossly unequal. Funding schools based on local real estate taxes is ridiculous and Bush's teach-to-the-test program "No child left behind" has been a disaster.

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